Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
CVA
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
2 - 0
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BVR
0 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
44%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
3 - 1
LSO
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CVA
2 - 0
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LUD
6 - 0
SSO
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SVE
0 - 1
LUD
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LUD
4 - 0
VID
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BER
1 - 2
LUD
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LUD
0 - 0
LPL
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |