Cherno More Varna vs Vitosha Bistritsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
10%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
LPL
0 - 2
CVA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CVA
0 - 0
BER
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ETA
1 - 1
CVA
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CVA
1 - 5
SEP
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
LSO
2 - 2
CVA
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitosha Bistritsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FKV
0 - 2
BOT
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
VER
0 - 1
FKV
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FKV
0 - 2
LUD
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
SSO
0 - 2
FKV
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FKV
0 - 2
CSK
12%
23%
65%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |