Cherno More Varna vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
ARK
1 - 0
CVA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
3 - 1
CVA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CVA
2 - 1
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
CVA
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CVA
0 - 0
LPL
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
FCT
2 - 0
SSO
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 2
LUD
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BVR
0 - 3
FCT
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
FCT
2 - 2
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CSK
2 - 1
FCT
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |