Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CVA
3 - 0
LPL
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 0
CVA
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CVA
0 - 1
MAR
61%
25%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
CVA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CSK
3 - 2
MED
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LPL
0 - 3
CSK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CSK
5 - 0
MAR
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUD
2 - 0
CSK
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CSK
4 - 0
FKH
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |