Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 5
CVA
20%
29%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 2
CHB
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 1
LUD
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 0
CVA
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 2
SSO
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SVE
0 - 3
CSK
8%
21%
71%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
4 - 1
VID
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
CSK
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 0
LPL
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |