Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2006 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CVA
2 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
CSK
3 - 1
CVA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
BER
0 - 4
CVA
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2006 |
CSK
4 - 1
DIN
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
DIN
0 - 1
CSK
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2006 |
VIH
1 - 3
CSK
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
CSK
2 - 1
SSO
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |