Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
LSO
5 - 0
CVA
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
CVA
1 - 2
SVA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
BOT
4 - 0
CVA
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
CVA
1 - 1
ETA
35%
30%
36%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1993 |
SHU
4 - 1
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
3 - 1
CSK
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
4 - 1
CHB
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
LPL
0 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
0 - 1
LOK
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
FCB
1 - 3
CSK
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |