Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
28%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
ETA
3 - 0
CVA
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
CVA
1 - 0
SPA
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
LSO
4 - 2
CVA
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
CVA
2 - 0
CHB
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
CVA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
CSK
5 - 1
FKH
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
AKA
0 - 3
CSK
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
CSK
3 - 1
BVR
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
GLE
2 - 1
CSK
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
SLI
0 - 2
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |