Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
CVA
48%
28%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
CVA
2 - 1
ETA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
CHB
1 - 0
CVA
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CVA
5 - 1
TUN
70%
18%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1971 |
BVR
2 - 0
CVA
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
AKA
0 - 0
CSK
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1971 |
CSK
2 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
ETA
0 - 3
CSK
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
CSK
5 - 0
CHB
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1971 |
TUN
0 - 2
CSK
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |