Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
LSO
1 - 1
CVA
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
CVA
0 - 0
SPS
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
DUN
2 - 1
CVA
39%
27%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
BER
1 - 0
CVA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
MAR
2 - 2
CVA
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
CSK
0 - 0
LSO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
CSK
3 - 0
MAR
68%
18%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 2
CSK
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CSK
2 - 1
BVR
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
CSK
4 - 2
BVB
35%
23%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |