Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
SLI
1 - 0
CVA
34%
26%
39%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
CVA
0 - 0
BER
50%
22%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
BVR
2 - 0
CVA
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CVA
0 - 0
LPL
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
DUN
2 - 0
CVA
35%
27%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1965 |
CSK
4 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
CSK
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
CSK
0 - 3
LSO
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
SPS
1 - 1
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
CSK
2 - 1
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |