Cherno More Varna vs Chernomorets Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
LSO
2 - 0
CVA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
CVA
1 - 0
BER
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
BOT
2 - 0
CVA
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CVA
0 - 1
SSO
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CSK
0 - 0
CVA
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 2
BEL
16%
24%
60%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
ROD
1 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 4
MAR
19%
26%
55%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VIH
2 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LSO
10 - 0
CHE
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | -1 |