Cherno More Varna II vs Ludogorets III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
6º
54
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 2
DOR
75%
14%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
CMV
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FKR
2 - 1
CMV
16%
18%
66%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 2
CMV
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CMV
2 - 2
SGT
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 3
CHE
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FKR
1 - 1
LUD
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 0
SGT
92%
6%
2%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 2
LUD
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
CHE
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |