Cherno More Varna II vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
6º
4º
33
5º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 1
CMV
13%
17%
71%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CMV
1 - 1
LOR
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 0
CMV
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CMV
2 - 2
DOR
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CMV
0 - 4
YAN
27%
25%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
FKR
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FKR
2 - 2
DOR
77%
14%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KUB
0 - 3
FKR
11%
17%
73%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FKR
0 - 0
SEP
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UST
1 - 0
FKR
30%
22%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |