Cherno More Varna II vs Riltzi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
6º
46
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SGT
1 - 6
CMV
10%
15%
76%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 1
FSV
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
CMV
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
5 - 0
SHU
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 3
CMV
10%
16%
74%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 5
CHE
8%
17%
76%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGT
3 - 5
FKR
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 1
FSV
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
FKR
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 0
SHU
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |