Cherno More Varna II vs Benkovski Isperih analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
6º
4º
35
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
0 - 1
CMV
13%
16%
71%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
CMV
3 - 1
FSV
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 4
CMV
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CMV
11%
15%
73%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CMV
1 - 1
LOR
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Benkovski Isperih
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
BIS
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 0
DOR
7%
13%
79%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KUB
0 - 3
BIS
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |