Cherbourg vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RAC
4 - 0
CHE
29%
28%
42%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CHE
4 - 2
VCH
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHE
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHE
3 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SEN
3 - 0
CHE
23%
29%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
AVR
2 - 1
PON
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
STA
1 - 0
AVR
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AVR
1 - 0
IVR
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
QUE
2 - 1
AVR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AVR
4 - 0
QUC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |