Chengdu Rongcheng vs Yunnan Yukun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
9º
4º
22
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
6% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
25.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CBC
2 - 0
DAL
72%
20%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 3
CBC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BEI
1 - 1
CBC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 2
TIT
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
WFC
3 - 1
YUN
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
YUN
1 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 1
YUN
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SJF
3 - 4
YUN
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
YUN
1 - 1
HAN
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |