Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
21
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 65 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 61 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 61 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 20 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
9% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
AKT
1 - 3
CBC
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
KRA
1 - 1
CBC
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 2
CBC
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
CBC
0 - 0
TIT
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CBC
1 - 2
SHA
48%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan Three Towns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SHE
1 - 1
WFC
3%
8%
89%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 3
QYI
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 0
WFC
25%
24%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
HAN
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 0
HEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |