Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
17
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 65 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 61 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 61 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 20 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
9% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 3
CBC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
HEN
3 - 2
CBC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
GFC
0 - 3
CBC
13%
20%
67%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 1
QYI
63%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MEI
0 - 4
CBC
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
SJF
1 - 2
WFC
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SJF
3 - 1
SHA
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
GGZ
2 - 2
SJF
9%
15%
76%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
BEI
3 - 1
SJF
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
QYI
0 - 0
SJF
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |