Chengdu Rongcheng vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
4º
11
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 65 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 61 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 61 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 60 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 49 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 43 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 38 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 20 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
9% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
29.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 23% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
CBC
2 - 0
BEI
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CBC
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
TIT
2 - 1
CBC
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
WFC
2 - 2
CBC
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
CBC
5 - 0
SJF
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
QIN
2 - 0
TIT
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 2
CBC
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SJF
4 - 0
QIN
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
QYI
1 - 0
QIN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 3
HAN
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |