Cheng Fung vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 3
CHF
22%
21%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CHF
3 - 1
MCA
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HSA
1 - 3
CHF
15%
18%
68%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CHF
0 - 0
CPK
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHF
0 - 1
BEN
40%
21%
39%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
SMA
76%
14%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
LUL
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
HSA
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 6
FJH
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |