Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
HSA
1 - 3
CHF
15%
18%
68%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
CHF
0 - 0
CPK
35%
21%
45%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHF
0 - 1
BEN
40%
21%
39%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 1
CHF
8%
13%
79%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TCK
2 - 5
CHF
14%
17%
69%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
3 - 1
MCA
13%
16%
72%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
MCA
21%
18%
61%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TOI
1 - 6
MCA
13%
15%
72%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |