Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
36.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 3
CHF
15%
19%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 3
CHF
27%
21%
53%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHF
7 - 2
HSA
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHF
6 - 2
TCK
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CHF
1 - 3
CPK
31%
20%
49%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
11 - 0
HSA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 7
MCA
14%
15%
72%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 2
MCA
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
3 - 2
TCK
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
MCA
56%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |