Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 4
CHF
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
CPO
5 - 1
CHF
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CPK
10 - 0
CHF
67%
17%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PSP
1 - 0
CHF
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CHF
5 - 1
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CPO
0 - 6
MCA
54%
19%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MCA
5 - 1
LUL
47%
20%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
82%
10%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CPO
3 - 1
MCA
42%
20%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CPK
11 - 1
MCA
76%
13%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |