Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
49.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.6%
3-4
2.1%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CPK
4 - 0
CHF
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
4 - 0
PSP
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +6 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 1
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
1 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
4 - 1
HSA
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
PSP
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 4
MCA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +10 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 1
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |