Cheng Fung vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
1 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
CHF
4 - 1
HSA
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
5 - 0
CHF
63%
18%
20%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CHF
0 - 2
CPK
46%
20%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 9
CHF
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
60%
19%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 5
CPK
55%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
LAI
0 - 6
MCA
31%
21%
48%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MCA
6 - 5
WAK
50%
20%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 0
MCA
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |