Cheng Fung vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
HSA
0 - 5
CHF
33%
21%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
0 - 1
TCK
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 3
CHF
65%
16%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
MCA
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CHF
2 - 1
WAK
53%
19%
28%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -8 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
23%
19%
58%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 0
LUL
77%
12%
11%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CPK
9 - 0
LUL
74%
13%
13%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LUL
2 - 2
CPO
30%
19%
51%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
LUL
2 - 3
HSA
56%
19%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |