Chemnitzer vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 1
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
PLA
0 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
HAN
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
TUR
2 - 1
CHE
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
HAM
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
STP
3 - 0
RAC
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
STP
1 - 1
LEV
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
STP
1 - 2
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SGF
1 - 4
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
STP
6 - 1
TUS
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |