Chemnitzer vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ROS
0 - 0
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
3 - 1
DAR
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
WAC
2 - 1
CHE
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 0
CHE
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
BAB
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
SGD
2 - 2
MUN
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
SGD
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SGD
3 - 0
WHU
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FSV
1 - 1
SGD
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |