Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 1
GER
61%
23%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SVD
0 - 2
CHE
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
2 - 0
BUD
60%
22%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ZWI
1 - 1
CHE
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 2
PLA
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
AUE
2 - 0
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 1
MEU
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 3
CAR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
GER
2 - 0
ROT
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 1
SVD
12%
21%
67%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +1 |