Chemnitzer vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
MEU
0 - 3
CHE
45%
25%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CHE
3 - 1
SAC
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 0
ZWI
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
CHE
13%
21%
67%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
AUE
1 - 1
PLA
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
GER
2 - 0
AUE
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
AUE
0 - 1
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
AUE
38%
25%
36%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
AUE
1 - 2
HAL
46%
27%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |