Chemnitzer FC U19 vs Carl Zeiss Jena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
3º
15
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
5 - 0
CHE
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 4
ERA
45%
21%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
CHE
84%
10%
5%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
HAL
29%
22%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 1
CHE
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
2 - 2
LEI
20%
21%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DDR
3 - 0
CZJ
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
4 - 1
ERA
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
CZJ
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
1 - 2
HAL
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |