Chemelil Sugar vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
44%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
BAN
39%
31%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ULI
1 - 0
CHE
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 2
GOR
25%
30%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MUH
1 - 1
CHE
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 1
MUH
52%
28%
21%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
TUS
0 - 0
GOR
36%
31%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
TUS
1 - 0
KAK
51%
28%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TUS
1 - 2
MUH
61%
26%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 0
TUS
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
SOF
1 - 1
TUS
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |