Chelsea vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 2
CHL
31%
25%
44%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HUL
1 - 2
CHL
9%
18%
73%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
CHL
2 - 2
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CHL
3 - 0
BUR
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MUD
0 - 0
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 6
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
MUD
0 - 2
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |