Chelsea vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 2
CHL
28%
22%
50%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
19%
23%
58%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 2
TOT
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MUD
0 - 1
CHL
61%
20%
19%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CHL
3 - 1
BAS
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
EVE
2 - 0
WHU
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 0
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
EVE
1 - 0
FUL
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 0
EVE
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ARS
0 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |