Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-1
Chelsea vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEE
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TOT
2 - 0
CHL
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CHL
0 - 1
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
CHL
37%
25%
38%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WHU
1 - 1
CHL
27%
26%
48%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BVB
2 - 1
RBL
42%
23%
35%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOF
0 - 1
BVB
17%
20%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BVB
4 - 1
HER
77%
15%
9%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BVB
1 - 0
CHL
37%
25%
38%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 2
BVB
12%
18%
70%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |