Chelsea vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
30%
25%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
5 - 0
STO
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 0
BHA
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 0
CHL
29%
24%
47%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
NTT
4 - 2
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
CRY
2 - 3
ARS
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 3
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |