Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHL
3 - 2
ARS
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HUR
0 - 3
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 0
LYO
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 2
MAC
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BOU
3 - 0
MKD
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 2
EVE
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WHU
1 - 2
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOU
2 - 0
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BOU
5 - 2
MAR
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |