Chela vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
74.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 2
KOL
52%
20%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
BET
7 - 0
CHE
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 2
EGR
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 1
CHE
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
SAM
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
KOL
0 - 1
MER
10%
16%
75%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
MAT
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
EGR
0 - 0
MER
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
BET
3 - 2
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -3 |