Chaves vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 0
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
VSC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PEN
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
CHA
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACV
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VSC
0 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 1
VAR
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |