Chaves vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TON
2 - 0
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FEI
1 - 2
CHA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 0
VKP
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
3 - 3
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |