Chaves vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
SCP
17%
22%
61%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TON
2 - 0
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
12%
21%
67%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SPB
3 - 0
MOR
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
EST
0 - 6
SPB
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
TON
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
35%
25%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 5
SPB
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |