Chaves vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 0
CHA
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
ARO
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VST
0 - 0
CHA
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
3 - 1
ARO
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
27%
29%
44%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
26%
25%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 1
SPB
30%
29%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 1
EST
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |