Chaves vs Marítimo analysis

Chaves Marítimo
73 ELO 65
-8.9% Tilt -3%
1034º General ELO ranking 1059º
20º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
54.4%
Chaves
25.5%
Draw
20.1%
Marítimo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
Chaves
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
20.1%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chaves
-6%
-2%
Marítimo

Points and table prediction

Chaves
Their league position
Marítimo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
14º
26
16º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Benfica
87
87
100%
Porto
85
85
100%
Sporting Braga
78
78
100%
Sporting CP
74
74
100%
Arouca
54
54
100%
Vitória Guimarães
53
53
100%
Chaves
46
46
100%
Famalicão
44
44
0%
Boavista
44
44
0%
Casa Pia AC
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Vizela
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Rio Ave
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Gil Vicente
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Estoril
14º
35
35
14º
100%
Portimonense
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Marítimo
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Paços de Ferreira
17º
23
23
17º
100%
CD Santa Clara
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chaves
Marítimo
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chaves
Marítimo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chaves
Chaves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 2023
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 1
Chaves
CHA
55%
24%
21%
73 78 5 0
23 Jan. 2023
BOA
Boavista
1 - 1
Chaves
CHA
41%
29%
31%
72 73 1 +1
15 Jan. 2023
CHA
Chaves
1 - 1
Arouca
ARO
39%
28%
33%
72 73 1 0
08 Jan. 2023
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 1
Chaves
CHA
26%
28%
46%
72 64 8 0
30 Dec. 2022
CHA
Chaves
0 - 2
Famalicão
FAM
38%
28%
34%
73 73 0 -1

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 2
Porto
FCP
9%
19%
72%
66 88 22 0
22 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 0
Estoril
EST
29%
30%
41%
65 71 6 +1
14 Jan. 2023
VIZ
Vizela
3 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
51%
26%
23%
66 69 3 -1
08 Jan. 2023
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
8%
17%
75%
64 88 24 +2
23 Dec. 2022
RIO
Rio Ave
1 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
61%
23%
15%
64 76 12 0