Chaves vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
FEI
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SPB
1 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
BRU
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VST
0 - 0
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 0
ARO
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 2
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |