Chaves vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 2
CHA
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
GON
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
MIR
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 1
RIB
56%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FAF
1 - 0
OSL
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
FAF
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FAF
2 - 1
PAD
74%
17%
10%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIZ
1 - 0
FAF
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |