Chaves vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MIR
1 - 2
CHA
5%
13%
83%
|
71 | 36 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
SPC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 0
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 2
EST
6%
14%
80%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
EST
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
3 - 2
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EST
3 - 1
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |