Chaves U19 vs Merelinense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
1º
1º
26
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 3
CHA
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
MIR
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHA
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 0
ARC
91%
7%
2%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 1
MER
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 4
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MER
5 - 0
ARC
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 3
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
TRF
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |