Chaves U19 vs Marinhas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
1º
1º
22
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 22 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OSL
0 - 2
CHA
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 2
AMA
76%
14%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 0
TRF
62%
19%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
MER
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Marinhas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
OSL
35%
22%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
VIL
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 5
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |